Browsing All Posts filed under »Stratfor«

Stratfor: U.S. Presidential Elections in Perspective

October 30, 2012 by

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“U.S. Presidential Elections in Perspective is republished with permission of Stratfor.” By George Friedman he U.S. presidential election will be held a week from today, and if the polls are correct, the outcome will be extraordinarily close. Many say that the country has never been as deeply divided. In discussing the debates last week, I […]

Turkey’s Challenge and the Syrian Negotiation

October 16, 2012 by

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“Turkey’s Challenge and the Syrian Negotiation is republished with permission of Stratfor.” By Reva Bhalla Syrian Information Minister Omran al-Zubi harshly criticized the Turkish government early last week over Ankara’s proposal that an interim government succeed the al Assad regime, saying that “Turkey isn’t the Ottoman Sultanate; the Turkish Foreign Ministry doesn’t name custodians in […]

The Emerging Doctrine of the United States

October 9, 2012 by

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“The Emerging Doctrine of the United States is republished with permission of   Stratfor.“ By George Friedman Over the past weekend, rumors began to emerge that the Syrian opposition would allow elements of the al Assad regime to remain in Syria and participate in the new government. Rumors have become Syria’s prime export, and as such […]

Understanding the China-Japan Island Conflict

September 25, 2012 by

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“Understanding the China-Japan Island Conflict is republished with permission of Stratfor.” By Rodger Baker Sept. 29 will mark 40 years of normalized diplomatic relations between China and Japan, two countries that spent much of the 20th century in mutual enmity if not at outright war. The anniversary comes at a low point in Sino-Japanese relations […]

War and Bluff: Iran, Israel and the United States

September 12, 2012 by

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“War and Bluff: Iran, Israel and the United States is republished with permission of Stratfor.” By George Friedman For the past several months, the Israelis have been threatening to attack Iranian nuclear sites as the United States has pursued a complex policy of avoiding complete opposition to such strikes while making clear it doesn’t feel […]

Stratfor: Poland’s Strategy

August 28, 2012 by

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“Poland’s Strategy is republished with permission of Stratfor.” By George Friedman Polish national strategy pivots around a single, existential issue: how to preserve its national identity and independence. Located on the oft-invaded North European Plain, Poland’s existence is heavily susceptible to the moves of major Eurasian powers. Therefore, Polish history has been erratic, with Poland […]

Stratfor: Spain, Debt and Sovereignty

June 22, 2012 by

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By George Friedman Eurozone countries on June 9 agreed to lend Spain up to 100 billion euros ($125 billion) to stabilize the Spanish banking system. Because the bailout dealt with Spain’s financial sector directly rather than involving the country’s sovereign debt, Madrid did not face the kind of demands for more onerous austerity measures in […]

Strartfor: Russia and the United States / Pushing Tensions to the Limit?

April 4, 2012 by

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Summary As  the United States prepare for their presidential elections, tensions between the countries are growing. The central point of contention is U.S. ballistic missile defense (BMD) plans. Russia has several levers, including its ability to cut off supply lines to the NATO-led war effort in Afghanistan, to use in the standoff over BMD, but […]

Comerţul şi investiţiile Ruso-Europene

March 1, 2012 by

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Analiza Stratfor tradusa in limba romana. Sursa engleza anexata mai jos. Principalul partener al Rusiei atât în investiţii cat şi în comerţ este Uniunea Europeană. O valoare estimata la 75% din investiţiile străine directe în Rusia provine din statele membre ale UE şi în conformitate cu cifrele UE, ele oglindesc 47,1% din  cifra de afaceri […]

Stratfor: Războiul clanurilor de la Kremlin

February 22, 2012 by

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Clanul “siloviki” – reprezentat de oamenii din sfera Kremlinului cu legaturi in structurile militare si de securitate, adica “aripa dura” – a depus eforturi sustinute, de-a lungul timpului, pentru a impiedica aceste programe si a rezistat tentativelor Kremlinului de a aduce mai multa transparenta in mediul de afaceri, menite sa atraga interesul investitorilor straini. Din […]

Stratfor: The State of the World – A Framework

February 21, 2012 by

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Editor’s Note: This is the first installment of a new series on the national strategies of today’s global power and other regional powers. This installment establishes a framework for understating the current state of the world. The evolution of geopolitics is cyclical. Powers rise, fall and shift. Changes occur in every generation in an unending […]

Stratfor: Political Change Won’t Shift Romania’s Calculus

February 7, 2012 by

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Summary Romanian Prime Minister Emil Boc resigned Feb. 6 amid protests against austerity measures taken by the government. Boc had to resign after losing the support of his own party, the Democratic Liberal Party (PDL), which will now seek to ensure its continuity in power and to achieve its political goals. But even if the […]

Stratfor: Europe’s Liquefied Natural Gas Facilities

February 5, 2012 by

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New liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities under construction in the Netherlands, France and Poland are set to diversify the Continent’s energy import options. By 2014, two large LNG facilities in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, and Dunkirk, France, will come online and will largely remove Russia’s market presence in several Western European markets by substantially undercutting Moscow’s […]

Stratfor: Germany’s Role in Europe and the European Debt Crisis

February 2, 2012 by

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Germany’s Role in Europe and the European Debt Crisisis republished with permission of STRATFOR.” By George Friedman The German government proposed last week that a European commissioner be appointed to supplant the Greek government. While phrasing the German proposal this way might seem extreme, it is not unreasonable. Under the German proposal, this commissioner would […]

Stratfor: The European Crisis in 2012

January 28, 2012 by

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For much of the fourth quarter of 2011, it appeared the eurozone was doomed. Debt was piling up for several key states, and those with the ability to assist lacked the political will to do so. But the European Central Bank (ECB) stepped in in December with measures that have postponed — not solved — […]

Stratfor: Italy’s Debt Crisis

January 17, 2012 by

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Short Analysis At the center of Europe’s debt problems is the fact that most of the Continent’s wealth is in the north, while the region’s periphery cannot grow without outside credit. That credit was made available with the creation of the eurozone in 1999, putting member states into the same capital pool. Many states — […]